Arquivo para a ‘Economia’ Categoria
Brazilian crisis: liberal thinking and the reformist
09
Mar
Yes the reformist, because if there is a revolutionary thinking, that is, a radical
change of system, the exit of the corrupt elite from power and structural changes in Brazilian society, I do not know where it is, and has nothing to do with: there is right government they said: Hasta la vista baby.
The perverse logic of the structural and also conjunctural crisis in Brazil is that neither is analyzed, the model basically linked to the agribusiness and auto industry has been bankrupt for a long time, oil reserves made at a high cost still do not attract the necessary investors, The eradication of poverty is scandal, although there are advertisements of the type: the new middle class, etc.
But the most misleading analysis is cyclical, for example, international consumption has decreased significantly, which means less demand and less export, China that grows even in the middle of the crisis, reduced its purchases by almost 40% between January 2014 and 2015 , Which can be verified by note Brazilian Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade.
We have an industrial park increasingly denationalized, once again, by the centrality granted to the production and export of primary goods and to external investors, with Brazil paying the invoice.
If we look at the sectors with the greatest fall in employment, the graph above shows that it is the processing industry and construction, that is, little to do with what comes from outside.
It can be observed in diverse journalistic articles that almost 50% of the export agenda revolves around crude oil, iron ore, soy, sugar and coffee, that is, we sell the product without adding value, and they often return To the country already with the due industrialization, there is no note on this subject, in fact I found one published in the Diário da Liberdade, that is to say, in a brazilian little known newspaper.
There are no profound reforms that attack social, educational, economic, and political problems (political reform as who? With those involved in the Lava Jato?), Which could result in structural changes in a city that is dependent on agribusiness and old colonelist elites (chiefs of agricultural states in Brazil), Without changing the structure, political change will not happen.
From the pre-electoral mistake of saying that there was no crisis, to the post-election to ask for “sacrifices” to the people without any counterpart, grows an opportunist and adventurous right that says the post-truth “we have nothing to do with politics,” Now balls … it’s her bastard kids.
Iceland: where there is gender equality
08
Mar
In an Annual Report on Gender Inequality in the 2016 edition Iceland is close to
achieving full equality between men in women in the four pillars assessed (Economic Participation and Opportunity, Access to Education, Health and Survival and Political Empowerment).
As 87% of the gap is closed and this is one of the countries that registered the greatest advances among the 144 investigated by the study, curiously along with other countries with great development, Finland overtook Norway, which fell to third place and is followed by Sweden, although the relationship with development is not direct, is suggestive.
It is not direct because the 4th. Place for Rwanda (upper left photo), the 7th. Philippines (top right), the 10th. Of Nicaragua and the 12th. of the Burundi (inferior photos) are surprising, indicating other factors regarding gender equality.
According to the European Union, a study on Iceland, 77% of women are now employed (the average in the EU countries is 58.6%) and 33.7% of them have completed higher education (against 25.8% Of the EU average), we must recognize the struggle of women there, a major one in 1975 when 90% of Icelanders refused to do anything from the corporate to the family environment to attest to their importance.
The situation of Brazil is shameful 85th position of 2015, but jumped to the 79th in 2016.
But the general data in the reports are staggering, claiming that gender equality in the labor market will only be achieved in the market in 170 years, that is in 2186.
The gap between men and women is 59%, still far from being closed (100%), the largest observed in the world since 2008, that is, we walked back last year and the previous 7 years, see the 2015 report
De-globalization and the analysis of the conjuncture
07
Mar
The term is not new no, “de-globalization” derived from very profound, though
little-discussed, changes in developed countries where trade as part of economic activity and between periods from 1914 to 1970, the decline that made these economies less integrated with The rest of the world, deepened economic globalization.
So the current process despite economic globalization has become confused, with an apparent return to the “wealth of nations” (reference to the period of Adam Smith), what is hidden is that clear break for globalization with the Great Recession of 2009 , As the KOF Swiss Economic Institute states: “The bursting of the dot-com bubble and the events of September 11, 2001 simply slowed down the pace of globalization, but the latest economic and financial crisis created a severe setback for the globalization process.”
The same institute in 2013 suggested in another report: “The largest upward movement as a region occurred in South Asia. Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa recorded a very small decrease in their regional average: high-income countries, Particularly the OECD countries, continue their trend of stagnation that began even before the current crisis. “
It is not a single or fatalistic analysis, it only explains why more conservative people find their way into a more conservative discourse, the reasons are economic rather than “cultural” or “political”, employment and money “Are disappearing from the pocket of” developed “countries.
For this reason, it is necessary to think of a culture of planetary solidarity and solidarity as an exit point, but without “forgetting” the local problems.
KOF. «Press release March 1, 2013» (PDF)
And now, is solid government at right ?
06
Mar
The discussion was made without reference to history, and without conscience history
does not repeat itself, but it is good to look at the work on the renaissance and the difficulties of establishing “strong” and “centralized” governments seeking to provide political stability, wrote Norbert Elias Scholar of Machiavelli, who is of the period of the renaissance:
“Society was in transition. The same was true of manners. Even in tone, in the way we see it, we feel that, in spite of all its attachment to the Middle Ages, something new was on the way. The “simplicity” as we experienced it, the simple opposition between “good” and “bad” and between “compassionate” and “cruel” had been lost. People embodied things more differently, that is, with stronger control of their emotions (ELIAS, 1994, 83-84).
At the end of the Middle Ages (around the fifteenth century), economic changes began to emerge, structural ones: industrial revolution, liberalism and republicanism, etc. Were still in their infancy, but the economic base is already starting to show signs of change.
Monetary economics, tied to the reappearance of money, which almost disappeared during the period of feudalism (the High Middle Ages), and mercantilism, the period of great navigations and new trades, changed the winds of that time.
It is in this context that the Feudal State gives way to centralized monarchies, and so-called Sovereign by Hobbes or The Prince, by Machiavelli, will make the transformations in the idea of state strengthen throughout the Modern Age.
To deal with such a subject, without a brief analysis of the model of the Feudal State, which underwent profound transformations in the period called the Middle Ages (XI to XV centuries), it is in this context that apocalyptic defenders of the modern State today are unaware of the process of Change we are and advocate the state strengthening “strong” government.
They did not count on the rise to power, at least its announcement in traditionally open countries like the Netherlands, France and even Germany, in addition to the already “consolidated” Trump and Putin governments, in two very strengthened nations.
If this was valid in the time of Adam Smith’s “Riches of the Nations,” today is an outdated and a-historic defense of this strong states defense and does not collaborate with a vision of a world more tolerant, fraternal and respectful of differences Cultural activities.
Adam Smith wrote at this time, Marx himself studied it, and he writed: “In these troubled times, every great owner was a kind of prince on a small point. His tenants were his subjects. He was the Judge and, in chief, in times of war. He waged war at will, and often against his neighbors, and sometimes against his sovereign.” (Smith, 1999, 660).
Today it does not make sense, but the Baumanians and other defenders of the “solid” go out of their way to see “strong” national governments come to the fore, was that what they defended? I bet not, but “strong” government is authoritarian government, contrary to what the world asks, at least any part of society.
ELIAS, N. The Civilizing Process. Oxford: Blackwell, 1994.
SMITH, A. Theory of moral sentiments, São Paulo: Metalibri, 2006. (pdf)
Which technologies are emerging
17
Feb
There are several methods of analyzing market trends, stock exchanges
like Nasdaq and many of its analysts and brokers are one type, but one highly referenced is the so-called Gartner curve.
The consultants this Gartner or Hypocycle curve, not only targets trend analysis, but mainly: “The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies is unique to doing analysis among several sets of HypoCycles, this because it distills insights from more than 2,000 technologies in a concise set of emerging technologies and trends that will have the greatest impact on the strategic planning of certain organizations, “said Mike J. Walker, director of the consulting firm, as reported on the company’s website earlier this year.
According to the analysis of the Gartner Curve, a consulting firm for investors in the area, the virtual reality is the great emerging technology in the year 2016, augmented reality (see Pokemon) is still at the bottom of the can of the process of disillusionment.
Bilding 3D images in medical fields is aplication examples of virtual reality.
Curves between technologies that are considered criticals include 4D Printing, Brain-Computer Interface, Human Augmentation, Volumetric Displays, Affective Computing, Connected Home, Nanotube Electronics, Augmented Reality, Virtual Reality e Gesture Control Devices.
Gartner clients can read more in the report “Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2016.” This report is part of Gartner’s Hype Cycle Special Report for 2016
Barber shops, cafes and nets
14
Feb
According to Peter Burke, the locu
s of religious and political discussions in 1620 was the barbershops, quotes the Italian writer Ludovico Zuccolo, who evoked them full of ordinary people discussing the religious problems and the attitudes of the rulers.
The first great wave of reading was to interpret the Bible, the same that Galileo had claimed and which is still ignored today, the same Ludovico said that as the number of illiterates fell, they were common in the sixteenth century in Italy, for example, shoemakers , Dyers, masons, and housewives, claim the right to interpret the sacred scriptures.
In the 1620s religious concerns were compounded by political concerns. Ludovico Zuccolo, an Italian writer, evoked the image of the barber shops full of ordinary people discussing the measures of the rulers.
Anyone who thinks that there is an excess of information today, as soon as the books began to be printed at more reasonable prices, one already complained about the number of existing books and how one would read them in a single life, in 1975 for example, 1745 The Vatican library, housed only 2,500 volumes, in the seventeenth century the Bodleian Library of Oxford had 8,700 titles, and the imperial library of Vienna, 10,000.
From the barbershops to the cafés, Café de La Paix is the scene of many novels, paintings and poems, Guy de Maupassant and Emile Zola frequented it, the proximity to the Opera Gamier (next door) made it a kind of Museum, In 1975 it was considered a historical site by the French government.
Would cybercafes be your descendants? They lived with libraries and other places of dialogue and culture, they were important in the “Arab Spring,” especially in Libya and Egypt, there were violence events with heroes who posted denunciations in these cybercafes.
Both the uprising in Egypt and Libya were recorded in numerous social media, a good example is the video with 2,000 deaths (video of OneDayOnEarth), reveal the taste of the dictators for the worship of the person and vertical media.
Long before the outbreak of the war in Syria, looking at the comments on the networks, we knew that there was a powder keg (see our post 2012), and also a blogger Tal al-Molouhi, arrested in 2009, was one of the fuses for the uprising.
The governments and owners of vertical media do not accept the influence of the networks, because it is their bankruptcy, but now even the authoritarian Trump does not give ball to them, makes its own media, of course it does not go unanswered, in social media media Is losing ugly.
New yahoo says what came
11
Jan
After the July 2016 sale of Yahoo to the Verizon digital electronics industry for $ 4.8 
billion ($ 15 billion), now the first changes is announced, the most important is the departure of CEO Marissa Mayer, and the name that may be Altaba.
The move signaled the end of an era, as Yahoo, in addition to its services and billions of visitors per month, was responsible at the beginning of the Web for many people entering the network.
Now it is known that pieces of the new company Altaba, the name says a lot, will be in use by the mega-site sales Alibaba and the Japanese internet portal, so far called Yahoo Japan, but that could also be renamed.
With the departure of the CEO, the idea is to turn it into an investment site and a board of directors that will be reduced from 11 to 5 people, ensuring agility and good business.
The statements were not official, but since the data leak that occurred in December 2016, high around data of 1 billion users, that is, the largest in history, the cloud about the future of the company is undoing.
At this time and after a second leak the business almost backed down
This new investment model, that is, using websites and capturing resources in digital networks, can have an impact on the world market, even though governments go back to the previous model that was founded on companies having resources and jobs in the country itself.
What can we say about the year that goes?
30
Dec
In Brazil, a lot of people are already late, in the world allegations of corruption,
a conservative wave, the post-truth (we have already posted), it is difficult to comment everything, I then separated any facts related to Information, which is my beach:
The fact that news appears all the time on the Web has made many people pass not read more newspapers, but journalists found that having “a full day” to process news, could give more accuracy and more analysis in the facts, people need “digest”.
The serious and almost daily events of 2016 required ”serious” journalism with what is being called zero ethics or experience, is a response to post-truth, or time in which facts contest the Directed analysis.
The year began with the “white” Oscar that generated protests and ironies, no black nominees for awards, at this point the real in social media was very good, which joked the awards.
In february Ukraine officially broke with the pro-Western governmental coalition, breaking into a crisis that would make a war with Russia with strong interests there.
In March Obama made a history visit to the island of Cuba, which begins to resume with the US.
In April the impeachment process of President Dilma is presented in the Federal Chamber, presided over by Eduardo Cunha, who would be dismissed on May 5, on May 12 Dilma Roussef is removed from the presidency of Brazil and becomes defending for violating tax laws. The mass spectrometer of the Rosetta probe confirms the presence of substances related to the origin of life in the comet’s tail 67P / Churyumov-Gerasimenko, almost unnoticed but fundamental to explain the origin of life.
In June, in a surprising plebiscite the UK opts to leave the Eurozone, it is called BRExit, begins the Eurocoup Soccer on June 10 that would be won by Portugal.
The retired deputy Eduardo Cunha resigned from the position of president of the Brazilian Congress of Deputies, after which he will be arrested for misappropriation of public money.
The Olympic Games begin in Brazil, under the motto of improvisations (brazilian term is gambiarras), Brazil wins the unprecedented gold medal in football, the main selection begins to have victories over the command of coach Tite.
On August 31, Dilma Roussef is definitely removed from the presidency by assuming the presidency of her deputy Michel Temer.
On Oct. 4 Hurricane Matthew Hurricane hits Haiti causing 877 deaths and many damage, on October 7 Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos is awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for fighting the end of the Civil War in Colombia, but the people Rejects in plebiscite, and Bob Dylan Nobel Prize of Literature.
On November 8, Donald Trump was elected President of the United States, and on November 26, Fidel Castro died and on November 29, a plane carrying Chapecoense in Colombia crashed, killing 71 people and leaving 6 injured.
In December, Brazilian poet and popular brazilian writer Ferreira Gullar died at the age of 86, Park Geun-Hye is removed from the South Korean presidency by favoring a friend, Matteo Renzi resigns from the post of prime minister of Italy taking over Paolo Gentiloni.
When we imagine that the tragedies were over, Andrei Karlov, the Russian ambassador to Turkey, is murdered and a few days later a Russian plane crashes, a band, a doctor and journalists.
What is verifiable in the post-truth
29
Dec
What the English, through the University of Oxford defined as post-truth, 
has little or nothing to do with philosophical hermeneutics, that is, objective facts and personal beliefs, in the logic of the hermeneutical circle after entering into fusion and dialogue giving rise to new Truths when it comes to hermeneutics and thus, “individual” discourses are part of the whole.
The kind of truth at stake is that of the “authority” of pseudo-owners of truth, the state is in check, especially in the last elections around the planet, until Angela Merkel had losses in the regional elections of Germany, and the prime minister Of South Korea, takes with a “simple” act of corruption has totally lost the credibility, already in Brazil …
The logic of everyday life should change, bosses and bosses no longer have space in modern companies, it is known that many of them were manipulative and authoritarian, incidentally who is not, even among religious hierarchy is complicated, the pope tells the bishops that ” They are not princes. ”
Parents are terrified of their children’s contestation, but the truth is that no one grows up if they do not answer, do not question, the most important truth in philosophy is the question, the answer can take ages and fry millions of neurons.
I am of the opinion that there is a setback that I have called de-globalization, but a new cycle of changes will come later, a global globalization with the participation of all and a more “globalized” truth.
Disglobalization: defining 2016
20
Dec
There are several possible definitions for 2016, which is not over yet, but we know
that there is a change of route, it was the year of BREXIT (the departure of the Great Britain from the Euro zone), the most surprising victory of Donald Trump in the USA, The right and extreme right disputing elections in France and Angela Merkel losing spaces in Germany.
The University of Oxford used the word post-truth to define this year, a word that although known since 1992, coined by Steve Tesich, had a growth of more than 2,000% in the year 2016.
According to the Oxford Dictionary, post-truth is defined as: “which relates or denotes circumstance in which objective facts have less influence in shaping public opinion than appeals to emotion and personal beliefs”, ie also the scenario of Latin America could be contemplated this way.
The Germans of the German-speaking Society (GfdS) used a speech by Angela Merkel when her party was defeated in regional elections: “we live in post-factual times”, to define 2016 thus: post-factual.
I prefer what is common in all these facts, in a retrogression the tendency of globalization, a certain revival of the concepts of “nations”, “cultures” and “peoples”, which is not a bad thing, if there were no rejection Of what is different, is the need for tolerance and dialogue.
I call this process the reverse of globalization, of disglobalisation, a tendency opposite to what books like Edgar Morin’s “Land-Patria” ask for, and “The world has no time to lose” of several important thinkers, among them Morin himself, Peter Sloterdijk and many others who call for “global governance” to tackle emergency problems: concentration of income, ecological imbalance, corruption, etc. Who need a global agenda.
I remember that the history of humanity also had setbacks, such as the Restoration in France, the reigns in the midst of an incipient advance of modernity and many others, but the vector of “globalization” is positive, we must understand within various parameters.
The role of networks and social media in denouncing discrimination, atrocities and non-coherent use of the state machine, a greater visibility of everything that occurs on the planet and on the philosophical plane, the rediscovery of the “Other”, the different and homo sacer.
