Arquivo para a ‘Economia’ Categoria
Davos e o futuro
21
Jan
The founder of the meeting in Davos, Klaus Schwab of the World Meeting of Economy (which is more political than social), warns: “Without urgent and focused action from now to manage 
this transition in the medium term and create a workforce with skills for the future, governments will face increasing unemployment and inequality constant. ”
A text widely cited an organization that participates in Davos says that 5 million jobs over the next five years around the world, the fourth industrial revolution will cause “major disruptions not only in the business model, but also in the labor market over the next five years, “states the text.
After the first revolution (with the appearance of the steam engine, came the second (electricity, assembly line) and third (electronics, robotics), comes the fourth industrial revolution that will combine numerous factors such as the internet of things and the “big date “able to transform the economy, but also to manipulate markets, labor and the environment.
It is speculated that there might be meeting to discuss curbing crises like the current, between Turkey and Russia or Iran with most Gulf countries, after the execution in Saudi Arabia of a Shiite religious leader, and the opening dialogue with Iran is welcome, but we have just witnessed a radical attack on a university in Pakistan.
Davos can not be and is not the last word, it’s time to listen to persons.
Starts in Davos the World Economic Forum
20
Jan
The World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos evolved from discussions
a small number of economists and politicians in the 1970s, for academic initiative Klaus Schwab, and which now hosts over 2,500 participants and more than 40 world leaders including people from the Brazilian government, thousands of managers or CEOs, as well as a number of Nobel laureates, the vast majority of Economy.
As we have said on the blog theme is the recommended Fourth Industrial Revolution, the robots entry and ciberizadas structures in production, daily and family life, some speak in the loss of 5 million jobs, but at the same time would generate about 3 million the that still gives a 2 million deficit, an economy at idle, the estimate is a global growth of 2.6% this year, which is still little.
Davos is a small and rather high city in Switzerland, with good infrastructure of tourism, because it is a traditional ski, and very cold this time of year.
Beyond the fourth industrial revolution, increasing immigration issue in Europe, the global security issues, ecology with the recent agreement of cop21, wars beyond the economy itself must be present at this meeting, the general mood is not very optimistic.
The Brazilian delegation will there headed by Finance Minister Nelson Barbosa, with a mission to recover the reliability of investors in Brazil, between the heads of state have confirmed the prime minister of France Manuel Valls, President of Germany Joachim Gauch, the Prime Minister of Sweden Stefan Löfven and the head of government of Greece Alexis Tsipras.
The US, wrapped with the primary elections, choices of which candidates are running for parties, send Vice President Joe Biden, Secretary of State John Kerry and the Defense Ashton Cartes, Israel will have Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
We did our analysis in previous posts, is now trying to understand what they will say.
Davoz: Leviathan to Cibercultura
18
Jan
The debate over whether the vacuum was made in the seventeenth
century between my contractualist Thomas Hobbes (1588-1679) and the experimentalist Robert Boyle (1627-1691), the first book Leviathan and discuss the structure of society, where man only could be “controlled” by a strong state also discusses the structure of matter, but Boyle’s experiments in the 1660s showed that the vacuum was possible, this debate is on the book by Shapin and Sheaffer: Leviathan, or The Matter, Forme and Power of a Common Wealth Ecclesiasticall and Civil (published 1985) and was awarded the Erasmus Prize in 2005.
The theoretical problem there is the production of acceptable knowledge production methods and shows how social factors are related to different ways of producing them, not about this, but in fact, Boyle’s experiment was important for the industrial revolution it was If this influenced the emergence of boilers fired water vapor, later propulsion engines, while Hobbes later modified reformulates the idea of ”social contract” that gave rise to modern republic, and then reshaped by John Locke (1632- 1704) suffered influence of Boyle, and finally Jean-Jacques Rousseau (1712-1778).
The meeting Davoz this year (from 20 to 23 January) speaks of 4th. industrial revolution, an American book published last year by John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge says the fourth revolution and the state: The Fourth Revolution – The Global Race to Reinvent the State (Penguin Press, 2014), is not what Davoz discuss, but It is an unspoken agenda: a republican democracy is experiencing a crisis.
What is on the agenda is the economic crisis, although act signs of recovery, which should be discussed is how the industrial revolutions: the first in 1784 (production of mechanical equipment powered steel, water and propulsion), the second from 1870: division of labor, electricity and mass production that would later lead to Fordism, the third in 1969 with the production of electronics, IT equipment (Information Technology) and automation, now would be a fourth with the production of cyber-physical equipment but what is this?
In the basic text of the World Economic Forum conference are pointed out three factors that lead to think in a fourth revolution and not an extension of the third: the speed, range and systemic impacts.
The speed that advances would take place no historical precedent, is it? the explosion of information is analyzed from the 40s, but now the pace is exponentially true.
The range is also true, as it is stopping almost all sectors in all countries, even China is experiencing a slight decrease, but should we grow like that?
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Finally the breadth and depth of these changes herald the transformation of the entire production systems, management and governance, and here we interest them Micklethwait and Wooldridge texts, as well as the discussion of the Economics Prize 2015 Angus Deamon, in his analysis of “consumption, poverty and well-being,” creating tax rules for this, but an analysis of micro-economy and not macros as is usual for this.
Comment Vivre en temps de crise ?
27
Nov
It is not the economic crisis, it is only the most sensitive part of a whole
systemic crisis involving culture, civilization processes, the correct understanding of the use of technology, and above all and mainly that is being who we are.
The book by Edgar Morin and Patrick Viveret, philosopher and former counselor of the government of Auditors Jospin an important mission which was to redefine what are in fact the indicators of wealth.
Viveret authority is it because Réconsidérer wrote it Richesse (Éditions de l’Aube) and Pourquoi ça ne vas pas mal plus? (Fayard), but the partnership with Morin makes this significant fact speech for the moment we live on the planet.
Just when everything seems to apply for disaster, perhaps this is just a superficial view of a changing world with many interesting opportunities.
We must be ready to welcome the unlikely, and this can only happen to those who are attentive to positive use this crisis as a new opportunity for a new relationship with the democratic power, monetary wealth, but rather with what can make sense to all that we are living and witnessing.
A Europe also Arab and black, an America that embraces and change the lives of the poor, without corruption, dictatorships and ideological biases, all this seems unlikely, but …
What Morin and Viveret deny are the conventional models, the already matured polarization and simplistic reasoning … the improbable can happen: a new era.
